| Bosnia remains
a deeply divided state
Daniel
McLaughlin
Released : Nov 25, 2005 1:43 AM
BOSNIA : Bosnia's leaders have
marked a decade of peace by pledging to overhaul their
ethnically divided state, but the road to lasting
reconciliation could still be barred by lingering
bitterness, suspicion and the overweening ambition of
sectarian politicians.
Senior Bosnian Serbs, Croats and
Muslims gathered in Washington this week to remember a
decade since the Dayton accords ended the 1992-95 war
and, under the gaze of top US officials, they pledged to
build a politically unified Bosnia.
But after hearing them condemn
fugitive war criminals, vow to rewrite the country's
constitution and streamline their cumbersome government,
Washington's diplomats told the Bosnians that concrete
changes were vital for their troubled state.
"These are encouraging words, and
now they must lead to serious action," said Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice. "There can be no more excuses
and no more delays - 10 years is long enough."
The Dayton accords divided Bosnia
into Serb-run Republika Srpska and a Muslim-Croat
federation, so-called entities linked by a clumsy
presidential system and weak administration that made
provision for more than 100 ministerial posts.
Though 60,000 international
peacekeepers deployed to Bosnia after the war have been
scaled back to about 7,000 troops, political and
economic change has been arduous.
After much wrangling - and
sometimes robust prompting from the international High
Representative for Bosnia, Paddy Ashdown - politicians
from the two entities have agreed to largely unify their
tax systems next year and unite their armies by 2008.
After months of fierce opposition
from Bosnian Serbs, an agreement to reform Bosnia's
police force has also been agreed in principle,
prompting the EU to begin initial talks today on the
long road to EU membership.
But while violence is now rare
between Bosnia's communities, few Serbs, Croats or
Muslims show any desire to live together as they did
before 1992, when Serbs opposed Bosnia's declaration of
independence from Yugoslavia by laying siege to
Sarajevo.
What is more, fears are still
fanned by nationalist Croat and Muslim politicians who
dream of dominating a united Bosnia, and by hardline
Serbs who claim their neighbours and the western powers
are determined to annihilate them.
"If it is possible to increase the
efficiency of Bosnia-Herzegovina's administration, we
have nothing against it," the vice-president of the
ruling nationalist Serb Democratic Party, Mladen Bosic,
said recently.
"But we will never accept the
abolition of Republika Srpska." Europe's worst bloodshed
since the second World War killed some 200,000 people,
made 2.2 million homeless and left Bosnia's economy in
ruins.
Despite receiving some 5 billion
in foreign aid, about 40 per cent of Bosnians are
unemployed and 18 per cent of its four million people
live in poverty.
Those who have jobs take home an
average monthly salary of about 250, prompting more than
a third of young Bosnians to express a desire to leave
their ravaged homeland.
Reforms aimed at hauling Bosnia
towards the EU are expected to help encourage investment
- even though membership may be a decade away - but the
country's ethnic divisions only multiply the difficulty
of acquiring the permits needed to start a business.
The maze of bureaucracy also
allows corruption to flourish, feeding into a network of
crime that enmeshes Bosnia and makes it a major route
for the trafficking of drugs, weapons and people towards
the West.
That network also feeds the
coffers of a cabal of politicians, security officials
and criminals who are believed to be shielding suspected
war criminals like Radovan Karadzic, the wartime Bosnian
Serb president wanted by the UN court at The Hague.
Flanked by US officials in
Washington this week, Bosnian Serb leaders made a rare
public condemnation of Mr Karadzic and his military
ally, Gen Ratko Mladic, saying they would finally be
captured if they persisted in refusing to surrender.
But Balkan analysts fear Bosnia's
progress could also be derailed by rising tension over
the future of Kosovo, the province in Serbia whose
mostly Albanian residents want independence but which
Belgrade vows never to relinquish.
"Recognising the international
independence of Kosovo. . . would spark a chain of
dramatic tremors in the Balkan region,"
Serbia-Montenegro's foreign minister, Vuk Draskovic,
said yesterday, shortly after Serbia's president had
suggested dividing the region along ethnic lines.
All parties agree on one thing:
the difficulty of crafting a new constitution and
political framework for Bosnia that will satisfy the
country's Serbs, Croats and Muslims.
As Dan Fried, a top State
Department official, said in Washington this week as the
Bosnians signed the broadest agreement possible: "We
decided not to get into specifics - or else the whole
thing would fall apart."
© The Irish Times
|